KSHG(SH:605333) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-28 10:19Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price based on the closing price of 34.22 yuan on October 27, 2025, corresponding to PE ratios of 22, 18, and 15 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.838 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.54%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 425 million yuan, a decrease of 3.10% year-on-year [1][2]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.209 billion yuan, up 4.47% year-on-year and 5.82% quarter-on-quarter, driven by increased sales from its client, Seres [2][3]. - The company is expanding its connector business and has successfully launched new projects with clients such as LeDao and ShangJie, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth [3]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.209 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.47% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 5.82% [2]. - The sales volume for the Seres brand reached 121,384 vehicles in Q3 2025, marking an increase of 8.74% year-on-year and 11.18% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Profitability Analysis - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q3 2025 was 1.48 billion yuan, down 19.10% year-on-year and 19.08% quarter-on-quarter, indicating pressure on profitability [2]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 15.45%, with a decline of 5.05 percentage points year-on-year and 1.18 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. Cost and Expense Management - The expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs in Q3 2025 were 0.42%, 2.50%, 4.06%, and 0.55% respectively, showing normal fluctuations [2]. - The increase in R&D expense ratio is attributed to strategic expansion investments [2]. Business Expansion and Innovation - The company is actively extending its connector business and has seen successful project launches with new clients, which are expected to drive future revenue growth [3]. - The establishment of a new subsidiary focused on robotics and the successful launch of a humanoid robot project are part of the company's "1+N" business strategy aimed at diversifying revenue streams [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.129 billion yuan, 11.046 billion yuan, and 13.255 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 706 million yuan, 874 million yuan, and 1.055 billion yuan [5][8].