Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the oil and petrochemical industry [1] Core Insights - Domestic LNG ex-factory prices have increased month-on-month, while international natural gas prices have also risen. As of October 24, the domestic LNG ex-factory price was 4274.00 CNY/ton, up by 257 CNY/ton, a rise of 6.40% month-on-month, but down by 662.00 CNY/ton, a decline of 13.41% year-on-year [2][8] - The apparent consumption of natural gas in China decreased month-on-month in September, but showed a year-on-year increase. The apparent consumption was 35.326 billion cubic meters, down by 1.358 billion cubic meters, a decline of 3.70% month-on-month, but up by 0.483 billion cubic meters, an increase of 1.39% year-on-year [17] Summary by Sections 1. Natural Gas Prices - Domestic LNG ex-factory prices increased month-on-month, while year-on-year prices decreased. The price as of October 24 was 4274.00 CNY/ton, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 6.40% and a year-on-year decrease of 13.41% [2][8] 2. Supply and Demand - In September, China's natural gas production decreased month-on-month to 596,680 tons, down by 105,710 tons, a decline of 15.05%. The apparent consumption was 35.326 billion cubic meters, down by 1.358 billion cubic meters, a decline of 3.70% month-on-month, but up by 0.483 billion cubic meters, an increase of 1.39% year-on-year [16][17] 3. Inventory - As of October 17, U.S. LNG/LPG inventory (excluding propane/propylene) was 203,244 thousand barrels, up by 1,788 thousand barrels, an increase of 0.89% month-on-month, and up by 28,289 thousand barrels, an increase of 16.17% year-on-year. European natural gas inventory as of October 22 was 94.564 billion kWh, up by 11.76 billion kWh, an increase of 1.26% month-on-month, but down by 14.752 billion kWh, a decline of 13.50% year-on-year [3][21][25] 4. Imports and Exports - In September, European natural gas imports totaled 193,718.84 million cubic meters, down by 4,882.90 million cubic meters, a decline of 2.46% month-on-month, but up by 60,915.29 million cubic meters, an increase of 45.87% year-on-year. Imports from Russia decreased significantly, totaling 10,110.10 million cubic meters, down by 2,352.70 million cubic meters, a decline of 18.88% month-on-month, and down by 8,991.50 million cubic meters, a decline of 47.07% year-on-year [26][30]
石油石化行业:国内国际天然气价上升,欧美天然气库存增加
Dongxing Securities·2025-10-28 10:36