政策与大类资产配置周观察：“十五五”定价的开始

Group 1: Domestic Policy Developments - The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China concluded, marking the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan" phase with a focus on high-quality development and significant improvements in technological self-reliance [11][12][14] - The session emphasized the need to stabilize employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations, aligning with the "Four Stabilities" approach to maintain economic stability [12][14] - The session proposed twelve specific goals for the "15th Five-Year Plan," including modernizing industries, enhancing technological independence, and expanding the domestic market [12][14][15] Group 2: Financial Market Analysis - The A-share market saw a collective rise in major indices, with the ChiNext Index increasing by over 8% and the CSI 100 rising by 3.57% during the week [4] - The central bank conducted a net fund injection of 198.1 billion yuan, maintaining stable liquidity in the market [5] - The issuance of new policy financial tools has exceeded half of the planned total, indicating a proactive approach to financial support [5][18] Group 3: Commodity Market Insights - The post-holiday period saw a rebound in non-ferrous metals, while crude oil prices experienced a slight recovery [5] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association emphasized the need for industry self-discipline amid fluctuating commodity prices [5] - The Fourth Plenary Session's focus on promoting high-quality development in real estate is expected to influence commodity markets positively [5][12] Group 4: International Trade and Relations - The fifth round of trade talks between China and the U.S. commenced in Malaysia, with both sides expressing constructive dialogue on key issues such as rare earths and agricultural products [22][23] - The ongoing discussions are seen as a step towards stabilizing the economic relationship between the two countries, with potential agreements anticipated during the upcoming APEC meeting [23]