China Spacesat(SH:600118) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-10-28 12:00Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on the satellite internet industry, emphasizing the rapid development and competitive landscape between China and the US in this sector [2]. Core Insights - The satellite internet industry is entering a new phase of rapid network deployment, with China aiming to launch over 25,000 satellites as part of its GW and Qianfan constellations, positioning itself as a strong competitor to the US [2][11]. - Low Earth Orbit (LEO) communication satellites are identified as the future trend for satellite internet, with significant advancements in technology and applications expected [2][35]. - The report highlights the importance of key components in satellite manufacturing, such as phased array antennas and electric propulsion systems, which are expected to see increased demand as the industry scales [2][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Acceleration of China's Satellite Internet Efforts - The US leads in the number of operational satellites, with 10,490 out of 15,621 globally, while China has 951 [5][9]. - China's satellite launch frequency has increased significantly, from 70 satellites in 2020 to 188 in 2024, showcasing its rapid growth in this sector [6][10]. - The report outlines four key factors driving the commercialization of China's space industry, including supportive policies, private capital influx, major constellation plans, and the establishment of commercial launch sites [21][22][26]. 2. Low Earth Orbit Communication Satellites as a Trend - LEO satellites dominate the current satellite landscape, with 89.5% of operational satellites being LEO types, primarily for communication purposes [12][17]. - The report emphasizes the competitive nature of low Earth orbit frequency resources, with countries racing to secure advantageous positions [35][36]. - The demand for satellite communication is expected to surge, particularly with the advent of direct-to-device (D2D) technology, which allows smartphones to connect directly to satellites [42][46]. 3. Evolution of China's Satellite R&D Landscape - China's satellite manufacturing has transitioned from government-led initiatives to a market-driven approach, with significant contributions from private companies [2][21]. - The report details the historical development of China's satellite capabilities, highlighting key milestones from the 1970s to the present [3][25]. - The establishment of commercial launch sites, such as the Wenchang Satellite Launch Center, is enhancing China's launch capabilities and reducing costs [31][34]. 4. Focus on Key Components in Satellite Manufacturing - The report identifies critical components in satellite manufacturing, including phased array antennas and electric propulsion systems, which are expected to see increased demand as the industry scales [4][19]. - The cost of satellite manufacturing is projected to decrease as production scales up, with a focus on effective payloads [2][4]. - The report highlights the importance of technological advancements in satellite components, which will create new opportunities in the market [4][19]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report advises investors to focus on satellite internet network companies and operators, as licensing and scale advantages will be key competitive factors [2]. - It also recommends attention to satellite manufacturing companies and critical component suppliers to capitalize on the rapid growth of the satellite internet sector [2].