Macroeconomic Insights - In September 2025, the profits of industrial enterprises continued to recover, primarily due to a low base from the previous year and an increase in working days, with a notable "volume-price rise" pattern driven by anti-involution policies and external demand recovery[6] - Structural issues remain, with significant industry differentiation and unclear demand signals, necessitating efforts to address supply-demand transmission blockages for sustained recovery[6] Market Strategy Observations - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market decreased to 1.8 trillion yuan, with the proportion of stocks rising to 81.2% and the median weekly return increasing to 3.1%[8][9] - Public fund issuance increased to 12.15 billion yuan, while private fund confidence slightly declined, nearing the highest levels of the year[9] Industry Trends - In the steel sector, the average spot price of rebar fell by 20 yuan/ton to 3190 yuan/ton, while hot-rolled coil prices rose by 20 yuan/ton to 3300 yuan/ton, indicating mixed price movements[30] - The operating rate of blast furnaces in 247 steel mills rose to 84.71%, with profitability rates at 47.62%, reflecting a slight decline from the previous week[31] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on technology growth sectors, cyclical materials, and financial stability, with specific recommendations for companies like Baosteel and Hualing Steel, which are expected to benefit from industry consolidation and high-quality development trends[32][23] Risk Factors - Potential risks include uncertainties in trade dynamics, insufficient implementation of anti-involution policies, and the possibility of a significant decline in demand[7][24][33]
每日报告精选:(2025-10-27 09:00——2025-10-28 15:00)-20251028
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-10-28 14:11