Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-28 14:44Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a slight decline in revenue of 2.1% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, totaling 5.386 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 5.4% to 1.477 billion yuan [7]. - In Q3 2025, the company experienced a significant increase in traffic volume, with a 321.35% year-on-year growth in traffic on the Xuan-Guang Expressway, leading to a 381.22% increase in toll revenue [7]. - The company is actively pursuing external acquisitions, having signed an agreement to acquire a 7% stake in Shandong Expressway Group for approximately 301.87 million yuan, which is expected to enhance net profit [7]. - The profit forecast for 2025 to 2027 is maintained at 1.955 billion, 2.002 billion, and 2.119 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 13, 13, and 12 [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 7.092 billion yuan, with a slight increase to 7.147 billion yuan in 2025, and further growth to 7.228 billion yuan in 2026 [6]. - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 1.955 billion yuan, reflecting a 17.1% year-on-year growth [6]. - The gross profit margin is expected to be 38.6% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 12.4% [6].