金信期货日刊-20251029

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2) Core View of the Report - On October 28, the silver futures price dropped significantly, with the main contract of Shanghai silver falling 3.32% in a single day, settling at 11,125 yuan per kilogram. The decline was due to multiple factors, but the medium - to long - term support logic remained unchanged. Investors should be cautious about short - term volatility and consider long - term allocation opportunities [3]. - For other commodities, different trading suggestions are given based on their respective fundamentals and technical analysis [7][12][15] 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Silver Futures - The significant decline in silver futures price on October 28 was a result of multiple factors, including profit - taking after a more than 70% increase in silver price this year and the forced liquidation of high - leverage ETF positions. The easing of trade tensions may also reduce the safe - haven demand for precious metals. However, the global silver market has had a supply - demand gap for five consecutive years, and the core contradiction of decreasing inventory due to growing industrial demand remains [3]. - In the short term, investors should beware of volatility risks and reduce positions. In the long term, a回调 to the key support level may present a good opportunity for allocation [4]. Stock Index Futures - The stock index futures showed a pattern of rising and then falling, closing with a doji star. Given the relevant news and market situation, it is expected to fluctuate upward at a high level tomorrow [7]. Gold - Currently, gold has high volatility, and it is not advisable to short in the short term. It is recommended to avoid trading for now [12]. Iron Ore - After the holiday, the terminal situation has not improved, and hot metal production may decline temporarily. Technically, the price closed up today, and considering the improved sentiment in the commodity market, investors can seize the opportunity to buy on dips [15]. - In the short term, the supply is affected by long - term contract negotiations and accidents, but in the long term, supply is expected to be loose with the commissioning of the Simandou project [16]. Glass - The daily melting volume of glass has not changed much, and inventory has continued to accumulate this week. The future driving force mainly lies in policy - side stimulus and supply - side clearance. Technically, the price closed up and broke through, showing a clear signal of bottom stabilization, so investors can buy at low prices [19]. Eggs - The inventory of laying hens is increasing, and the sufficient supply of eggs suppresses the price rebound. However, based on the current price and cost, egg - chicken farming is expected to incur a loss of 16.90 yuan per chicken. There may be short - term buying opportunities [22]. Pulp - The pulp price in Shandong remained stable today. The supply - demand fundamentals have not changed significantly, the port inventory reduction is lower than expected, and the purchasing side is cautious. Pulp is expected to run weakly, and it is recommended to treat it as a low - level fluctuation [26].