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房地产行业第43周周报:本周二手房成交同比降幅收窄,四中全会提出?推动房地产高质量发展-20251029
Bank of China Securities·2025-10-29 02:22

Investment Rating - The report rates the real estate industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The recent Central Committee meeting emphasized "promoting high-quality development" in real estate, indicating a focus on improving living standards and ensuring quality housing [1] - The report anticipates that the construction of "good houses" and urban renewal will be key focuses during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with related content expected in the upcoming planning suggestions [1] - The report highlights that the current market is under pressure due to high inventory levels, declining prices, and weak consumer confidence, which may hinder transaction volumes [6] Summary by Sections 1. New Housing Market Tracking - In the 43rd week, new housing transaction volume in 40 cities was 24,000 units, down 9.5% month-on-month and 18.1% year-on-year [17] - New housing transaction area was 256.1 million square meters, down 7.8% month-on-month and 21.1% year-on-year [25] - Inventory levels in 12 cities decreased, with a total inventory of 13,371 million square meters, down 0.3% month-on-month and 13.2% year-on-year [41] 2. Land Market Tracking - Total land transaction area across 100 cities was 1,101.96 million square meters, up 29.8% month-on-month but down 42.3% year-on-year [63] - Total land transaction value was 18.7 billion yuan, down 10.1% month-on-month and 55.0% year-on-year [70] - The average land price was 1,697.1 yuan per square meter, down 30.7% month-on-month and 22.1% year-on-year [65] 3. Policy Overview - The Central Committee's meeting called for promoting high-quality employment and improving the income distribution system, alongside advancing high-quality development in real estate [99] - Local policies in cities like Wuhan and Chengdu are providing interest subsidies and increasing loan limits to stimulate housing purchases [100]