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我国前三季度GDP同比增长5.2%,资金面整体均衡,债市走弱
Dong Fang Jin Cheng·2025-10-29 06:18

Economic Overview - China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with a 4.8% increase in Q3 alone, accelerating by 0.2 percentage points compared to the full year of 2024[4] - The cumulative industrial added value for the first three quarters increased by 6.2% year-on-year, while the retail sales of consumer goods rose by 4.5% during the same period[4] Monetary Policy - The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) has remained unchanged for five consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.00% and the 5-year LPR at 3.50%[5] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 1890 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40%[11] Real Estate Market - In September, new residential sales prices in first-tier cities fell by 0.3%, with significant declines in Guangzhou and Shenzhen by 0.6% and 1.0% respectively[5] - Second-tier cities saw a 0.4% decrease in new residential sales prices, while third-tier cities experienced the same decline[6] Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market showed weakness, with the yield on the 10-year government bond rising by 2.30 basis points to 1.7680%[15] - The Ministry of Finance announced support operations for government bonds, with a total operation amount of 6.1 billion yuan for various bond types[6] International Market Trends - U.S. Treasury yields showed mixed movements, with the 10-year yield decreasing by 2 basis points to 4.00%[24] - In the European market, the 10-year bond yields varied, with Germany's yield stable at 2.58% while Italy and the UK saw declines of 1 basis point[27]