Workflow
中国广核(003816):量价短期承压,变动成本补偿取消利好电价回升
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-29 06:46

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (003816) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 59.72 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.09%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.58 billion yuan, down 14.14% year-on-year [7] - The company's operational performance is under pressure due to a decrease in electricity prices, despite an increase in power generation [7] - The company has a significant number of nuclear power units under construction, which provides strong growth potential in the long term [7] - The cancellation of the variable cost compensation mechanism in Guangdong province in 2026 is expected to positively impact the company's electricity prices [7] - The financial performance is expected to improve due to reduced financial costs from convertible bond issuance [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 85.69 billion yuan, with a net profit of 10.17 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 5.9% [6] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 32.4% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.6% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.20 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 20 [6]