Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-29 08:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (003816) [6] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit are under short-term pressure due to volume increase and price decrease, but the cancellation of variable cost compensation in Guangdong is expected to benefit the company's electricity prices in the future [6] - The company has a large scale of nuclear power units under construction, which provides strong growth certainty in the long term [6] - Financial costs have decreased due to the issuance of convertible bonds, enhancing the company's profitability [6] - The company's projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 101.72 billion, 109.81 billion, and 117.36 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 20, 19, and 18 [6] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 85.69 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 1.3% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 10.17 billion yuan, down 5.9% year-on-year [5] - The company’s gross profit margin is expected to be 32.4% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.6% [5] - The company managed a total power generation of approximately 182.82 billion kWh in the first nine months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.67% [6] Market Data - As of October 28, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 4.07 yuan, with a market capitalization of 160.093 million yuan [2] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 1.7 and a dividend yield of 2.33% [2]