GigaDevice(SH:603986) Dongguan Securities·2025-10-29 08:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a record high revenue of 6.832 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.92%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.083 billion yuan, up 30.18% year-on-year [2][6]. - The DRAM industry supply situation continues to improve, leading to a favorable environment of rising volume and price, with significant demand growth in consumer, industrial, and automotive sectors [6]. - The company is expected to benefit from the AI-driven storage industry cycle, with major storage giants raising product prices due to increased demand for high-performance storage chips for AI applications [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.832 billion yuan, a 20.92% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.083 billion yuan, a 30.18% increase year-on-year [2][6]. - Q3 2025 revenue reached 2.681 billion yuan, marking a historical single-quarter high with a year-on-year growth of 31.40%, and a net profit of 508 million yuan, up 61.13% year-on-year [6]. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 38.59%, a decrease of 0.87 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 16.17%, an increase of 1.44 percentage points year-on-year [6]. - In Q3 2025, the gross margin was 40.72%, down 1.04 percentage points year-on-year but up 3.71 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit margin of 19.27%, up 3.82 percentage points year-on-year and 3.73 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [6]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates that the company will benefit from the ongoing recovery in the storage market, with expectations of price increases in the fourth quarter, particularly for server eSSD products, projected to rise by over 10% [6]. - The company is well-positioned in niche storage products, including NOR Flash and SLC NAND Flash, and is expected to gain from the improving industry landscape and rising shipments [6]. Earnings Forecast - The projected earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 are 2.42 yuan and 3.22 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 102 times and 77 times [6][7].