纯苯、苯乙烯日报：外部制裁与新产能并行，纯苯苯乙烯弱势延续-20251029

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The market for pure benzene and styrene continues to be weak, affected by external sanctions and new production capacities [1]. - The pure benzene market remains loose in the short - term, with prices under pressure. The styrene market will continue its weak and volatile pattern in the short - term [2][3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Daily Market Summary - Fundamentals - Prices: On October 28, the main styrene contract closed down 1.00% at 6,466 yuan/ton, with a basis of - 11 (+45 yuan/ton); the main pure benzene contract closed down 1.33% at 5,495 yuan/ton. The closing price of Brent crude oil was 61.3 dollars/barrel (-0.2 dollars/barrel), and the WTI crude oil main contract closed at 65.6 dollars/barrel (-0.3 dollars/barrel). The spot price of East China pure benzene was 5,485 yuan/ton (+0 yuan/ton) [2]. - Cost: The styrene port inventory was 20.3 tons (+0.6 tons), a 3.1% increase, and the pure benzene port inventory was 9.9 tons (+0.9 tons), a 10% increase [2]. - Supply: The styrene production rate and supply decreased slightly. The weekly styrene output was 32.7 tons (-1.2 tons), and the factory capacity utilization rate was 69.3% (-2.6%) [2]. - Demand: The overall demand for the downstream 3S production rate recovered. The EPS capacity utilization rate was 62.0% (-0.5%), the ABS capacity utilization rate was 72.8% (-0.3%), and the PS capacity utilization rate was 53.8% (+0%) [2]. - Views - Pure Benzene: International situation uncertainty and sanctions have led to a slight reduction in supply expectations, but there is still inventory accumulation pressure in the fourth quarter. The port inventory may rise again at the end of October to early November. The market is loose in the short - term, and prices are under pressure [2]. - Styrene: The market center continues to decline, and supply pressure is increasing. New production capacities have been put into operation, and although the balance sheet shows theoretical inventory reduction in the fourth quarter, the inventory reduction pressure is still high. The market will continue its weak and volatile pattern in the short - term [3]. 3.2. Industrial Chain Data Monitoring - Prices: The styrene futures main contract decreased by 1.00% to 6,466 yuan/ton, and the pure benzene futures main contract decreased by 1.33% to 5,495 yuan/ton. The prices of various types of pure benzene in different regions also showed certain declines [5]. - Output and Inventory: The Chinese styrene output decreased by 3.66% to 32.7 tons, and the pure benzene output decreased by 2.72% to 42.6 tons. The styrene and pure benzene port and factory inventories all increased to varying degrees [6]. - Capacity Utilization: The capacity utilization rates of some pure benzene and styrene downstream products decreased, such as styrene (-2.63%) and caprolactam (-3.52%) [7]. 3.3. Industry News - Trump's threat to impose a 100% tariff on China has been cancelled, China is expected to resume large - scale soybean purchases from the US, and Beijing will postpone the implementation of rare - earth export controls [8]. - US inflation data in September were lower than expected, increasing the prospect of the Fed's interest - rate cut. The Fed will hold an interest - rate meeting early on October 30 [8]. 3.4. Industrial Chain Data Charts The report provides multiple charts, including those on pure benzene and styrene prices, styrene - pure benzene spreads, and inventory and capacity utilization rates of related products [9][13][16]