HTSC·2025-10-29 08:49Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][6]. Core Views - The company has shown stable revenue growth driven by a solid wealth management performance and a recovery in credit demand in the UK [2][4]. - The net interest margin has stabilized and is expected to improve, leading to an upward revision of the net interest income guidance for 2025 from $42 billion to $43 billion [3][6]. - The company has increased its return on tangible equity (ROTE) guidance for 2025 to above 15% [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 4.8% year-on-year, and pre-tax profit rose by 4.5% [1]. - Non-interest income grew by 17.2% year-on-year, with wealth management business revenue increasing by 24.9% [4]. - The company attracted new investment assets worth $73 billion, with $42 billion coming from Asia [4]. Asset Quality - As of September, the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 2.50%, with a provision coverage ratio of 42% [5]. - The company expects credit costs to remain around 0.40% for 2025, with ongoing pressure in the Hong Kong commercial real estate sector [5]. Market Position and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve a target price of HKD 143.08 for 2026, corresponding to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.50 times [6][8]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is $22.86 billion, $23.49 billion, and $25.80 billion respectively, reflecting a growth of 6.9%, 3.3%, and 6.5% [6].