CMS·2025-10-29 09:09Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, with a net profit increase of 51.48% year-on-year, despite a slight decline in revenue [1][6] - The resilience of coal power generation and significant growth in hydro and wind power generation contributed to the strong performance, even as the average on-grid electricity price continued to decline [6] - The company has improved its profitability levels, with a gross margin of 19.41% and a net margin of 10.54% for the first three quarters [6] Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 122.404 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5% [2] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated to reach 6.569 billion yuan, reflecting a 46% increase compared to the previous year [2] - The current PE ratio is 10.8, with projections for 2026 and 2027 at 10.2 and 9.5 respectively [2][10] Performance Metrics - The company achieved an on-grid electricity volume of 822.48 billion kWh in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 3.2% [6] - The average on-grid electricity price for the first three quarters was 430.19 yuan per MWh, down 4.32% year-on-year [6] - The company's financial expenses decreased by 17.7% year-on-year, further enhancing profitability [6] Shareholder Information - The major shareholder is China Datang Corporation, holding a 35.34% stake in the company [3]