瑞达期货苹果产业日报-20251029

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided about the industry investment rating in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - Given the current scarcity of high - quality new apples and the principle of better quality commanding higher prices, it is expected that the short - term apple futures price will continue to fluctuate with a slightly upward trend [2] 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the apple futures main contract is 9198 yuan/ton, and the main contract position is 136,249 hands, with a decrease of 22,876 hands compared to the previous period. The net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 2663 hands, with a value of 8643 hands [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The spot price of apples in Gansu Jingning (paper - bagged above 75) is 5 yuan/jin, unchanged; in Shandong Yiyuan (paper - bagged above 75) is 2.35 yuan/jin, unchanged; in Shaanxi Luochuan (paper - bagged above 70 semi - commercial) is 4.1 yuan/jin, unchanged; in Shandong Yantai Qixia (paper - bagged above 80 first - grade) is 3.7 yuan/jin, an increase of 0.2 yuan/jin [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The annual apple production in China is 5128.51 million tons, with an increase of 168.34 million tons. The weekly wholesale price of apples is 9.52 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.1 yuan/kg. The average weekly wholesale price of Fuji apples is 9.26 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.12 yuan/kg [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The total weekly cold - storage inventory of apples in China is 0 million tons. The weekly storage capacity ratio of apples in Shandong is 0, a decrease of 0.01; in Shaanxi is 0. The monthly export volume of apples is 70,000 tons, unchanged. The monthly export value of apples is 6917.9 million US dollars, an increase of 248684.5 million US dollars. The monthly import value of fresh and dried fruits and nuts is 1837980 million US dollars [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The weekly average wholesale price of tangerines is 7.3 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.3 yuan/kg; of bananas is 5.08 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.26 yuan/kg; of watermelons is 5.46 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.01 yuan/kg. The weekly average daily arrival volume of trucks in the early morning at the Guangdong Jiangmen Wholesale Market is 15.8 vehicles, an increase of 0.2 vehicles; at the Guangdong Xiaqiao Wholesale Market is 18.4 vehicles; at the Guangdong Chalong Wholesale Market is 24.6 vehicles, a decrease of 0.2 vehicles [2] 3.6 Option Market - The implied volatility of at - the - money call options for apples is 24.29%, an increase of 1.82%; of at - the - money put options is 24.3%, an increase of 1.83% [2] 3.7 Industry News - In Shandong, the supply of late - season Fuji apples continues to increase, trading is fair, good - quality apples are scarce and prices are firm, while prices of ordinary apples are chaotic. In Shaanxi, trading of good - quality apples is mostly finished, with remaining ordinary or poor - quality apples and chaotic prices. In Gansu, apple trading is in the later stage, good - quality apple prices are stable at a high level, and ordinary apples are priced according to quality. The new - season late - maturing Fuji apples are increasing in supply, with a delay in the picking and storage progress compared to last year [2] 3.8 Viewpoint Summary - Merchants are actively purchasing high - quality apples but more cautious about ordinary ones. In Shandong, the supply of new apples is still limited, and small - batch orders are increasing. The trading atmosphere in the sales market is still weak, with slow sales and pressure on the demand side [2]