机械设备行业周报:Optimus量产路线明确,关注产业链投资布局机会-20251029
BOHAI SECURITIES·2025-10-29 10:16

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Positive" for the next 12 months, expecting a growth rate exceeding 10% relative to the CSI 300 index [8][38]. Core Views - The demand for construction machinery is expected to continue growing due to favorable factors such as ongoing hydropower projects and urban renewal initiatives. The global tariff disturbances are gradually diminishing, enhancing the cost-performance advantage of domestic construction machinery [8][38]. - Tesla's announcement regarding the mass production of the Optimus robot indicates a clear production roadmap, with plans to showcase a prototype in Q1 2026 and establish a production line for 1 million units. This development suggests significant future production potential, with estimates reaching up to 100 million units in the long term [8][38]. - The report maintains "Buy" ratings for specific companies: Zoomlion Heavy Industry (000157), Hengli Hydraulic (601100), Jiechang Drive (603583), and Haomai Technology (002595) [8][38]. Industry News - The rental index for aerial work platforms in September was recorded at 686 points, showing a slight month-on-month decrease of 1.9% but a year-on-year increase of 9.4% [16]. - Longsheng Bearing achieved a revenue of 935 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking an 11.97% year-on-year growth [24]. Industry Data - As of October 24, 2025, the steel composite price index (CSPI) was 91.22, indicating a slight decline [17]. - International crude oil prices have rebounded, with WTI and Brent crude prices at 61.31 USD/barrel and 65.62 USD/barrel, respectively, as of October 28, 2025 [18]. Market Review - From October 22 to October 28, 2025, the CSI 300 index rose by 1.83%, while the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Industry increased by 1.76%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 0.06 percentage points [27][28]. - The price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Industry was 32.37 times, with a valuation premium of 134.86% relative to the CSI 300 as of October 28, 2025 [28].