“十五五”规划建议稿关于科技解读：抢占科技制高点，催生新质生产力

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the computer industry [2] Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has laid a solid foundation for industrial and technological accumulation, addressing some core "bottleneck" issues in the industrial chain, with technology expected to be the leading force in the next five years [6] - The report emphasizes that high-level technological self-reliance is crucial for leading the development of new productive forces, transforming technology from a supportive role to a core engine for economic transformation [6] - The "Artificial Intelligence+" initiative is integrated into the "15th Five-Year Plan," aiming for widespread integration of AI across various sectors by 2030 [6][7] Summary by Sections Technological Development - The innovation output index for 2024 is projected at 215.8, reflecting an 8.1% increase from the previous year [6] - The number of high-value invention patents per 10,000 R&D personnel increased by 12.5%, maintaining double-digit growth for three consecutive years [6] - The proportion of registered trademark enterprises rose by 8.4%, while the number of scientific papers and average contract amounts in the technology market both increased by 5.8% [6] Key Areas of Focus - The report identifies quantum technology, biological manufacturing, hydrogen and nuclear fusion energy, brain-computer interfaces, embodied intelligence, and sixth-generation mobile communication as new economic growth points [6] - Quantum computing is expected to achieve commercial viability within the next decade, with the global market projected to grow from $1.1 billion in 2022 to approximately $7.6 billion by 2027 [6][7] - The brain-computer interface market is anticipated to reach $3.3 billion by 2027, driven by advancements in technology [7] Investment Recommendations - The main investment focus remains on the AI+ action plan, with expectations for AI agents to be implemented in industrial, autonomous driving, and financial sectors from 2025 to 2027 [7] - Key investment areas include AI computing infrastructure, AI agents, intelligent terminals, and green low-carbon initiatives [7] - Specific companies to watch include Hongsoft Technology, Daotong Technology, Kingdee International, and others [7]