Workflow
梓橦宫(920566):梓橦宫920566.BJ:核心品种稳盘,Q3增速转正,新品与区域突破双轮驱动

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 303 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.57%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 1.94% to 56.1 million yuan [6][10] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a significant improvement, with a revenue of 106 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, and a net profit of 20.7 million yuan, up 16.69% year-on-year, indicating a release of profit elasticity [6][9] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the stable performance of core products and the initial market penetration of new products [9][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 197 million yuan, down 0.99% year-on-year, and a net profit of 35.4 million yuan, down 10.3% year-on-year. The gross margin was 76.47%, compared to 80.09% in the first half of 2024 [6][10] - The core product, cytidine diphosphate choline tablets, accounted for 75.23% of the main business revenue, providing stable cash flow [9][10] Growth Drivers - The company is expected to see continued revenue growth supported by new product launches and regional market expansion. The new products, including celecoxib capsules and oseltamivir phosphate capsules, are gradually gaining market share [9][10] - The Northeast market showed a revenue increase of 63.88% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating successful regional expansion efforts [9] Profitability - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 79.03%, showing a recovery from previous lows, while the net margin improved to 19.38%, up 1.92 percentage points year-on-year [9][10] - The company is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory in revenue, with projected revenues of 441.53 million yuan, 506.48 million yuan, and 605.65 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 6.22%, 14.71%, and 19.58% [11][10] Valuation - The current market valuation corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 21.2, 20.3, and 19.3 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10][11] - The company is expected to continue building its core product cluster, which will drive gradual improvement in performance [10]