Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The US corn market is in a narrow - range oscillation. Although the US - China relationship has eased recently and the price has rebounded, the high production level remains unchanged. The Chinese market has high import profits for foreign corn, and the domestic corn spot still has room to decline in the short term. Corn starch prices are mainly affected by corn prices and downstream stocking, and the short - term spot is expected to decline, with the 01 - contract on the futures market bottom - oscillating [4][6][7]. - The trading strategy suggests that the US corn has support at 400 cents per bushel. For 05 and 01 corn, it is advisable to wait and see. For the spread between 01 corn and starch, one can try to short the spread when it is high. In the options market, a short - term strategy of accumulating puts and calls with rolling operations is recommended [8][9][11]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Data - Futures Market: Among corn futures contracts, C2601 closed at 2116, down 7 (- 0.33%); C2605 closed at 2221, down 9 (- 0.41%); C2509 closed at 2253, down 8 (- 0.36%). Among corn starch futures contracts, CS2601 closed at 2427, up 3 (0.12%); CS2605 closed at 2540, down 1 (- 0.04%); CS2509 closed at 2590, down 3 (- 0.12%) [2]. - Spot and Basis: Corn spot prices in different regions showed different trends. For example, the price in Qinggang was 1970, unchanged; in Guangdong Port, it was 2250, down 20. Starch spot prices were stable. The basis for corn and starch also varied by region [2]. - Spreads: In the corn market, the spread of C01 - C05 was - 105, up 2; in the starch market, the spread of CS01 - CS05 was - 113, up 4. The cross - variety spreads also had corresponding changes [2]. 3.2 Market Judgment - Corn: The US corn market is in a narrow - range oscillation. The Chinese market has high import profits for foreign corn. The spot price in the Northeast is falling, while in North China, it has started to stabilize and rebound. The domestic breeding demand is stable, but the corn spot still has room to decline in the short term [4][6]. - Starch: The number of trucks arriving at Shandong deep - processing plants has decreased, and the corn spot in Shandong has stabilized. The starch inventory has decreased this week. Due to the significant decline in corn prices, enterprises are making good profits. However, the corn in North China may still decline at the end of October, and the starch spot is expected to follow suit [7]. 3.3 Corn Options The recommended option strategy is a short - term strategy of accumulating puts and calls with rolling operations [11]. 3.4 Related Attachments The attachments include graphs showing the spot prices of corn in different regions, the basis of corn 01 contract, the spreads of corn 1 - 5, the spreads of corn starch 1 - 5, the basis of corn starch 01 contract, and the spreads of corn starch 01 contract [13][15][20].
玉米淀粉日报-20251029
Yin He Qi Huo·2025-10-29 12:06