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通信行业:“十五五”规划建议稿发布,商业航天将加速发展
Dongxing Securities·2025-10-29 12:04

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "positive" investment rating for the communication industry, indicating an expected performance that is stronger than the market benchmark by over 5% [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of commercial aerospace development as a key driver for the "14th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing the importance of building a modern industrial system and advancing new economic growth points such as quantum technology and sixth-generation mobile communication [2][11]. - The communication and computing network infrastructure is transitioning from large-scale investment to efficient development, with ongoing expansion in related markets such as base station equipment, IDC, liquid cooling, optical modules, and computing chips [3][10]. - The report notes significant advancements in satellite internet, with a total of 93 satellites launched by China Star Network in 2025, and the successful launch of 18 satellites in one mission by Shanghai Yanjin Satellite [3][10]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - As of mid-2025, China has 4.549 million 5G base stations, with a net increase of 298,000 from the previous year, while the number of 5G-A networks is expanding across over 300 cities [10]. - The smart computing industry is experiencing growth, with the total number of operational computing center racks reaching 10.85 million, a 23.3% increase from the end of 2024 [10]. Future Developments - The report discusses the early-stage development of quantum technology and sixth-generation mobile communication, with significant potential for future economic contributions [11][12]. - The global 6G development timeline is outlined, with key milestones set for 2025 and 2029, indicating a strategic push for technological advancement [12]. Investment Recommendations - The report identifies several companies within the satellite internet industry, including China Satellite (600118.SH) and China Satcom (601698.SH), as potential investment opportunities [14]. - For communication networks and computing networks, companies such as ZTE Corporation (000063.SZ) and Xinwei Technology (688387.SH) are highlighted as key players [15].