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策略点评报告:\十五五\规划的战略新布局与投资机遇全解析:承前启后的中国现代化之路
Huafu Securities·2025-10-29 13:20

Group 1 - The "15th Five-Year Plan" period (2026-2030) is positioned as a critical phase for achieving basic socialist modernization, emphasizing the need to consolidate advantages, eliminate bottlenecks, and strengthen weaknesses to gain strategic initiative in international competition [8][9] - The guiding principles of the "15th Five-Year Plan" continue the theoretical framework of the "14th Five-Year Plan" but place greater emphasis on "economic construction as the center," reflecting a strong focus on stabilizing growth in response to changing internal and external environments [10][12] - The development goal system of the "15th Five-Year Plan" has been significantly upgraded, with seven main goals outlined, including a focus on high-quality economic development and increased emphasis on domestic consumption [13][14] Group 2 - The strategic tasks of the "15th Five-Year Plan" show a structural adjustment, with the modern industrial system prioritized over technological innovation, indicating a shift towards balancing technological breakthroughs with industrial applications [17][18] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" outlines three key directions for modern industrial system construction: intelligent, green, and integrated development, with a clearer positioning of the manufacturing sector [18][20] - The plan emphasizes the importance of traditional industries' optimization and upgrading, as well as the cultivation of emerging and future industries, including strategic emerging industries like new energy and advanced materials [20][31] Group 3 - Investment opportunities are identified in four main lines: modern industrial system-driven investments, technology innovation-led emerging sectors, green transformation opportunities, and the silver economy alongside consumption upgrades [2][32][33] - The advanced manufacturing cluster is highlighted as a key investment area, with significant policy support expected for sectors such as aerospace, high-speed rail, and intelligent transportation equipment [27][30] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of expanding domestic demand, with a focus on enhancing consumer spending and investing in human capital, which is expected to drive growth in service consumption and related sectors [22][23][33]