XREC(SZ:000598) Changjiang Securities·2025-10-29 13:42Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.356 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.85%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 789 million yuan, up 13.09% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company reported a significant improvement in cash collection, with a cash collection ratio of 108.4% in Q3, an increase of 10.6 percentage points year-on-year [2][12]. - Capital expenditures for the first three quarters of 2025 totaled 2.66 billion yuan, down from 3.42 billion yuan in the same period last year, indicating potential for increased dividends [2][12]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 6.548 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.40%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.764 billion yuan, up 8.49% year-on-year [6]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 51.96%, an increase of 4.14 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to increased service fees and a decrease in engineering revenue proportion [12]. Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - The cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters of 2025 was 2.4 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.7% year-on-year growth. In Q3 alone, the cash flow from operating activities was 1.465 billion yuan, up 25.2% year-on-year [12]. - The company’s capital expenditures decreased, providing room for potential dividend increases in the future [12]. Future Outlook - The company expects continued profit growth supported by price increases in wastewater treatment services and the commissioning of ongoing projects. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 2.16 billion, 2.27 billion, and 2.375 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9.6x, 9.1x, and 8.7x [12].