Jangho(SH:601886) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-10-30 01:35Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jianghe Group (601886.SH) [4][6] Core Views - Q3 performance is steady and meets expectations, with a notable increase in overseas revenue and profit anticipated [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas business, with a significant increase in overseas orders and higher gross margins [1][3] - The company has achieved a cash flow improvement in Q3, indicating a stronger focus on cash management [2] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-3 2025, the company reported revenue of 14.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.6%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.6 billion yuan, an increase of 5.7% [1] - The gross margin for Q1-3 2025 was 15.7%, up 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, with Q3 gross margin at 15.6%, up 1.0 percentage points [2] - The company’s net profit margin for Q1-3 2025 was 3.14%, an increase of 0.34 percentage points year-on-year [2] Order and Revenue Outlook - The company secured new orders worth 22.2 billion yuan in Q1-3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [1] - The overseas order volume surged by 61% in H1 2025, accounting for 38% of total orders, indicating a strategic shift towards international markets [1][3] Growth Strategy - Jianghe Group is implementing a "dual-wheel drive" model for overseas expansion, focusing on both traditional EPC models and platform models in developed and emerging markets [3] - The company has made significant progress in product platformization, particularly in curtain wall products and BIPV specialty photovoltaic components, enhancing its competitive edge [3] Dividend and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 6.9 billion, 7.4 billion, and 8.0 billion yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13.0, 12.1, and 11.2 times [4] - The projected dividend payout ratio is 80%, leading to dividend yields of 6.1%, 6.6%, and 7.1% for the respective years [4]