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三大因素助推大盘站上4000点,追高或不明智,逢调整布局更稳妥
British Securities·2025-10-30 02:06

Core Viewpoints - The A-share market has regained the 4000-point level, driven by a systematic layout for technological innovation under the 14th Five-Year Plan, maintaining reasonable liquidity through central bank operations, and a temporary easing of Sino-U.S. trade relations, creating a supportive external environment [2][8][10] Investment Themes - Focus on technology growth sectors, including AI, semiconductors, and robotics, which are supported by policy and show promising earnings in Q3 reports, shifting from speculation to performance verification [3][9] - High-dividend defensive sectors such as banking, utilities, and transportation provide safety margins during market fluctuations [3][9] - Cyclical sectors like photovoltaics, batteries, energy storage, rare earths, engineering machinery, chemicals, coal, non-ferrous metals, real estate, and brokerage are benefiting from anti-involution policies that optimize industry structures and improve profitability [3][9] Market Overview - On the recent trading day, major indices opened higher and the Shanghai Composite Index surpassed 4000 points, with significant gains in sectors like energy metals and photovoltaic equipment, while some sectors like banking and shipbuilding faced declines [4][5][6] - The trading volume reached 22,560 billion yuan, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4016.33 points, up 0.70%, and the ChiNext Index rising by 2.93% [5][6] Sector Highlights - The new energy sector saw substantial gains, with lithium mining, BC batteries, and photovoltaic equipment performing well, supported by ongoing global efforts to achieve carbon neutrality [6][7] - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept stocks surged as the island's full closure operation is set to officially launch on December 18, 2025, indicating strong policy support [7]