中兴通讯(000063):压力最大阶段或已过去,看好AI算力发展
ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-10-30 03:57

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [8] Core Views - The most challenging phase for the company may have passed, with optimism regarding the development of AI computing power [4] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 100.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.63%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 32.69% to 5.322 billion yuan [1][2] - The decline in domestic operators' capital expenditure has significantly impacted the company's performance, particularly in its network business, which accounted for 49% of revenue and had a gross margin of 53% in the first half of 2025 [1][3] Summary by Sections Operator Network - The domestic operator network market has seen a notable decline in capital expenditure, with a year-on-year decrease of 13.1% in Q3 2025 [3] - The pressure from declining capital expenditure is expected to ease, with projections indicating a decrease of approximately 9% for the full year 2025 [4] Computing Power Business - The computing power segment has experienced a significant year-on-year revenue growth of 180%, with server and storage revenue increasing by 250% [5] - The company has established close collaborations with major domestic internet companies, achieving large-scale commercial use of its intelligent computing servers [5] Home and Personal Business - The home and personal business segments have shown steady growth, with personal business revenue achieving double-digit growth [6] - The company has launched AI smartphones in collaboration with Doubao, integrating advanced AI capabilities into its products [6] Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 7.6 billion yuan, 9 billion yuan, and 10.3 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of -9.8%, +19.0%, and +14.3% [13]