Guoxin Securities·2025-10-30 05:25Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company has a clear structure with four major business segments: stamping parts, molds, assembly processing, and precision electroplating, which are supported by high-quality customer resources [1][14]. - The stamping and assembly processing businesses are benefiting from the recovery and growth of core customers, particularly SAIC Motor, and the expansion into new energy vehicle clients such as Tesla, Li Auto, and Xiaomi [2][20]. - The precision electroplating business is seen as a new growth driver, with significant margins and a recent entry into the power semiconductor sector [3][25]. Summary by Sections Business Overview - The company has been deeply involved in the automotive parts industry for over 30 years, establishing a diversified product matrix that includes stamping parts, assembly processing, precision electroplating, and mold design and manufacturing [14][17]. - The company completed the acquisition of Wuxi Kaixiang in 2022, marking its entry into the precision electroplating business, which is expected to drive future growth [14][25]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of CNY 25.31 billion for 2024 and CNY 31.02 billion for 2025, with a projected net profit of CNY 5.01 billion for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 32.5% [4][5]. - The gross margin is expected to improve, reaching 29.04% in the first half of 2025, driven by product mix optimization and cost control [4][42]. Customer Base and Market Position - The company has a solid customer base, with major clients including SAIC Group, Tesla, Li Auto, and Xiaomi, which collectively contribute significantly to its revenue [54][30]. - The company’s stamping business has over 3,500 products, with a focus on both traditional fuel vehicles and new energy vehicles, ensuring a stable order flow [20][31]. Growth Drivers - The precision electroplating segment is projected to grow significantly, with sales of precision electroplated parts expected to increase from 71.66 million units in 2021 to 122.21 million units by 2024, achieving a gross margin of 80% [3][49]. - The company is also investing in power semiconductor components, which are anticipated to provide new growth opportunities [3][25]. Market Trends - The automotive stamping parts market in China is expected to maintain a scale of around CNY 250 billion from 2025 to 2027, driven by the increasing demand for lightweight and high-safety vehicles [59][60]. - The report highlights a trend towards outsourcing assembly processing as automotive manufacturers seek to enhance operational efficiency [57].