巨星农牧(603477):生猪出栏量稳步增长,猪价低迷Q3陷入亏损

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a steady increase in pig slaughter volume, but faced losses in Q3 due to low pig prices [6] - The company achieved a total revenue of 5.639 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 42.57%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders was only 107 million yuan, down 58.69% year-on-year [6] - The average selling price of pigs decreased significantly, leading to a loss of approximately 72 yuan per pig in Q3 [6] - The company is expected to optimize production indicators and reduce costs through advanced technology and management practices [6] - The financial position remains strong with cash reserves of 616 million yuan and a slight increase in the debt-to-asset ratio [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 7.541 billion, 7.917 billion, and 8.733 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.1%, 5.0%, and 10.3% [5][8] - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is 12 million, 448 million, and 839 million yuan, with significant fluctuations in growth rates [5][8] - The company’s earnings per share are projected to be 0.02, 0.88, and 1.64 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5][8] - The company’s current price-to-earnings ratio is projected to be 763X for 2025, 21X for 2026, and 11X for 2027 [5][8]