玉米淀粉日报-20251030
Yin He Qi Huo·2025-10-30 08:44
- Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Report's Core View - The US corn market is expected to remain in a narrow - range oscillation. The domestic corn spot has short - term downward space, and the 01 corn futures will fluctuate weakly. The 01 starch futures are expected to oscillate at the bottom in the short term. It is recommended to try to go long on 05 and 01 corn lightly and to shrink the spread between 01 corn and starch when the spread is high [4][7][9][10] 3. Summary by Relevant Sections Data Futures Disk - Corn futures (C2601, C2605, C2509) and corn starch futures (CS2601, CS2605, CS2509) all showed price declines on October 30, 2025. For example, C2601 closed at 2111, down 5 (-0.24%), and CS2601 closed at 2419, down 8 (-0.33%). The trading volume and open interest of different contracts had varying degrees of increase or decrease. For instance, the trading volume of C2601 increased by 24.51%, and the open interest of CS2601 decreased by 1.70% [2] Spot and Basis - Corn spot prices in different regions had different trends. The prices in Qinggang, Songyuan Jiji, etc. were reported, with some stable and some falling. The basis of corn in different regions also varied, such as -277 in Qinggang. Starch spot prices in different enterprises were stable, and the basis was relatively high, like 120 in Longfeng. The spreads between different contracts of corn and starch also had changes, for example, the spread of C01 - C05 was -102, up 3 [2] Market Judgment Corn - The US corn market is in a narrow - range oscillation. The import profit of foreign corn has declined, and the FOB price at northern ports in China is stable. The spot price in the Northeast corn - producing area has continued to decline, while the supply in North China has decreased, and the corn spot price has begun to stabilize and rebound. The price difference between Northeast and North China corn has narrowed. The wheat price in North China is relatively strong, and the price difference between wheat and corn has widened. The domestic breeding demand is stable, but the corn spot still has short - term downward space. The market is concerned about the selling pressure of Jilin corn at the end of October [4][7] Starch - The number of vehicles arriving at Shandong deep - processing plants has decreased, and the corn spot price in Shandong has stabilized. The starch inventory has decreased this week. The starch price mainly depends on the corn price and downstream stocking. The by - product price is relatively strong, and the enterprise profit is good. However, due to the possible decline of corn price at the end of October in North China, the starch spot price is also expected to decline, and the 01 starch futures are expected to oscillate at the bottom in the short term [8] Trading Strategy - The US corn is expected to continue to oscillate narrowly. North China corn is stabilizing and rebounding, but there is short - term pressure. It is recommended to try to go long on 05 and 01 corn lightly and to shrink the spread between 01 corn and starch when the spread is high [9][10] Corn Options - The option strategy is a short - term strategy of accumulating puts and calls with rolling operations [12] Relevant Attachments - The attachments include charts of corn and corn starch spot prices, basis, spreads, etc., which visually show the price trends and relationships of different contracts and regions over time [14][16][20]