Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company has shown a stable fundamental performance with a strong free cash flow, which is expected to continue providing high dividend returns [1][2] - The profit growth is driven by reduced financial and administrative expenses, as well as the divestment of certain assets [2] - The company has successfully focused on its core water resource business after divesting from certain real estate operations [2][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 14.281 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, primarily due to increased income from water resource operations [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 4.067 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.2% [1] - The company's tax profit increased by 9.5% to HKD 6.241 billion, driven by lower financial and administrative costs [2] Water Resource Operations - The Dongshen water supply project reported a total supply of 1.670 billion tons, with revenue of HKD 5.242 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 1.6% [3] - Other water resource operations generated revenue of HKD 5.611 billion, with a slight decrease in tax profit by 2.6% [3] Strategic Acquisitions - The company acquired a 51% stake in Yangjiang Yuehai Qingyuan for RMB 156 million and a 2% stake in Shantou Yuehai Water for RMB 70.88 million, enhancing its operational scale to 12.1 million tons per day [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains profit forecasts with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at HKD 4.218 billion, HKD 4.397 billion, and HKD 4.576 billion, respectively [5] - The target price is set at HKD 9.11, based on a projected PE ratio of 13.6 times for 2026 [5]
粤海投资（00270）：看好稳健基本面和持续高股息价值