Zhejiang Longsheng(SH:600352) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-30 08:48Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" [3] Core Views - The company's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 met expectations, with total revenue of 9.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.40 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3% [6] - The dye business is experiencing a bottoming out phase, with significant integration advantages, maintaining a leading position in the industry [6] - The real estate business is gradually realizing profits, with a high sales rate for the Bo Mao Plaza project and a substantial increase in contract liabilities, expected to confirm profits from 2026 to 2027 [6] - The company maintains a positive outlook for net profit growth in the coming years, with estimates of 2.08 billion yuan for 2025, 2.31 billion yuan for 2026, and 2.54 billion yuan for 2027, corresponding to PE valuations of 16X, 15X, and 13X respectively [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 15.98 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 0.6% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected at 2.08 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.4% [2] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 29.1% in 2025, slightly down from 29.3% in 2024 [2] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 5.7% in 2025, increasing to 6.2% by 2027 [2] Market Data - As of October 29, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock was 10.49 yuan, with a market capitalization of 34.13 billion yuan [3] - The company has a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.00, indicating a relatively high margin of safety compared to its five-year average of 1.13 [6]