Jade Bird Fire(SZ:002960) CAITONG SECURITIES·2025-10-30 08:47Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 4.6% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit drop of 29.0% [7] - The domestic civil and commercial fire safety revenue decreased by 9.9% due to industry demand adjustments and intense price competition, while industrial and sector fire safety revenue increased by 4.6% [7] - The company is expected to see a turnaround in 2026, driven by new national standards and the exit of non-compliant small enterprises from the market, enhancing the market position of leading companies [7] - The introduction of fire-fighting robots is anticipated to contribute to future growth, as automation in inspection and firefighting becomes a trend [7] - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 4.17 billion, 5.49 billion, and 6.49 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.48, 0.63, and 0.74 yuan [7] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 4,972 million yuan, with a growth rate of 0.99% in 2025 and 11.21% in 2026 [6][8] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 659 million yuan, with a significant decline of 46.42% expected in 2024 [6][8] - The company's PE ratio is projected to be 24.36x in 2025, decreasing to 15.65x by 2027 [6][8] Market Performance - The company's stock price closed at 11.60 yuan on October 29, 2025 [2] - The company has shown a market performance of -8% over the last 12 months compared to the CSI 300 index [4]