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灿勤科技(688182):需求快速放量,毛利率提升明显

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company is expected to experience significant growth in its main business of filters due to the capital expenditure from operators on 5G-A, with production capacity for HTCC anticipated to be released gradually in 2025. This will enhance the company's growth potential and improve the stability of future performance [2][4]. - The company's revenue and net profit have shown rapid growth, with Q1-Q3 2025 revenue reaching 491 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 82.47%, and net profit of 86 million yuan, up 72.33% year-on-year. In Q3 2025 alone, revenue was 204 million yuan, reflecting a 151.38% increase year-on-year, with net profit at 34 million yuan, a 116.22% increase year-on-year [4][6]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 34.62%, an increase of 3.19 percentage points year-on-year and 3.85 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to changes in product structure and improved capacity utilization [8]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 104 million yuan, 214 million yuan, and 362 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 80%, 105%, and 69%. The corresponding PE ratios are expected to be 98x, 48x, and 28x [2][8]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing demand for 5G-A base stations and the introduction of new products in the consumer electronics sector, which will also contribute to the overall growth [2][4].