JONHON(SZ:002179) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-30 10:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, considering its leading position in the defense sector and proactive layout in emerging industries [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 15.838 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-over-year growth of 12.36%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 30.89% year-over-year to 1.737 billion yuan, slightly below market expectations [1]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue decline of 4.97% year-over-year to 4.654 billion yuan, with a significant drop in net profit by 64.50% year-over-year to 300 million yuan. The profit margin was impacted by changes in product structure and increased tax expenses [1][2]. - The company is experiencing strong growth in sectors such as defense, new energy vehicles, data centers, and industrial equipment, despite short-term profit pressures due to structural changes in its business [1][3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the gross profit margin decreased by 6.91 percentage points to 29.70%, and the net profit margin fell by 6.94 percentage points to 11.90%. In Q3 2025, the gross profit margin further declined by 7.32 percentage points to 28.19% [1]. - The company maintained a low expense ratio, with a total expense ratio of 15.50%, down 0.60 percentage points year-over-year. Research and development expenses increased by 12.61% year-over-year to 1.401 billion yuan [2]. - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters of 2025 was -608 million yuan, compared to 725 million yuan in the same period last year, indicating cash flow challenges [2]. Growth Opportunities - The company is solidifying its position as a preferred supplier in the defense sector and is actively participating in emerging fields such as unmanned systems and deep-sea technologies. It has achieved significant breakthroughs in various products [3]. - The company is also focusing on building a "second growth curve" in high-end civil manufacturing, satellite communication, and data center solutions, with the latter seeing a year-over-year business scale growth of 100% [3]. - Internationally, the company is pursuing a strategy of localization in key regions and has seen rapid growth in international business orders, particularly in smart connected electric vehicles, photovoltaic energy storage, and medical sectors [3].