Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 49.94 RMB [7][5]. Core Insights - The company has experienced rapid revenue growth driven by a recovery in military product demand, with Q3 revenue reaching 128 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 1727.32% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30.25% [1][2]. - The military product segment is seeing a resurgence, particularly in precision-guided munitions and electronic countermeasures, while the civil product segment is expanding with advancements in aviation satellite communication and low-orbit satellite networks [2][3]. - The strategic investment from Sichuan Development, acquiring a 6.25% stake, is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in the aerospace and satellite industries [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 248 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 185.29%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was a loss of 47.54 million RMB, improving by 62.74% year-on-year [1][4]. - The gross margin for the first nine months of 2025 was 34.64%, a decrease of 10.78 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was -19.15%, an increase of 127.51 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Business Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a strong order backlog and growth in demand for military and civil products during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [2]. - The civil product business is actively pursuing market opportunities, particularly in the C919 domestic aircraft and satellite internet sectors, which are anticipated to see significant growth [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 50.41 million RMB, 149.74 million RMB, and 236.75 million RMB respectively, reflecting a downward revision due to slower-than-expected profit recovery [5][11]. - The company is assigned a 2026 PE valuation of 56 times, with a target price adjustment to 49.94 RMB [5][11].
盟升电子(688311):Q3军品需求复苏驱动营收快速增长