杭氧股份（002430）：业绩增长稳健，核聚变领域加速拓展

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 30.99 CNY, compared to the current price of 26.84 CNY [6]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated steady performance growth, with significant improvements in gross margin and cash flow metrics. It is also accelerating its overseas expansion and actively exploring new production capabilities in controllable nuclear fusion [2][3]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 13,309 million CNY, with a growth rate of 4.0%. By 2025, revenue is expected to reach 16,040 million CNY, reflecting a 16.9% increase [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 1,216 million CNY, with a slight increase of 0.5%. The forecast for 2025 is 1,046 million CNY, indicating a 13.4% growth [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.24 CNY for 2023, decreasing to 1.07 CNY in 2024, and then increasing to 1.38 CNY by 2027 [4]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 13.7% in 2023, declining to 10.0% in 2024, and gradually improving to 10.9% by 2027 [4]. Performance Metrics - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 11,428 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 10.39%, and a net profit of 757 million CNY, up 12.14% [13]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 20.64%, with a net margin of 7.44%, both showing year-on-year improvements [13]. - Cash flow from operating activities significantly improved, with a net cash flow of 19,470 million CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 140.03% increase year-on-year [13]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, planning to establish subsidiaries in Singapore and Malaysia to enhance its global market responsiveness and customer development [13]. - It is also focusing on developing new production capabilities in strategic emerging industries, particularly in controllable nuclear fusion, which includes providing high-quality low-temperature equipment and high-purity specialty gases [13].