Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-10-30 14:52Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance exceeded market expectations, with a notable focus on the dividend yield in the Hong Kong stock market [4] - The company reported a revenue of 173 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a decrease of 6.2% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 42.52% to 14.841 billion yuan [6] - The significant profit growth in Q3 was attributed to a decrease in coal prices, which enhanced profit elasticity, despite a decline in electricity sales and average on-grid electricity prices [6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2023: 254,397 million yuan (3.11% YoY growth) - 2024: 245,551 million yuan (-3.48% YoY decline) - 2025E: 238,673 million yuan (-2.80% YoY decline) [5] - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2023: 8,446 million yuan (214.33% YoY growth) - 2024: 10,135 million yuan (20.01% YoY growth) - 2025E: 15,444 million yuan (52.38% YoY growth) [5] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2023: 0.54 yuan - 2024: 0.65 yuan - 2025E: 0.98 yuan [5] - Return on Equity (ROE): - 2023: 6.39% - 2024: 7.38% - 2025E: 10.64% [5] Operational Highlights - The company added 10,295 MW of new installed capacity in the first three quarters, with coal, wind, and solar power contributing 3,463 MW, 2,205 MW, and 4,627 MW respectively [6] - The coal power profit margin reached approximately 0.06 yuan/kWh, with a continuous optimization of the balance sheet reflected in a debt-to-asset ratio of 63.78% [6] - The company’s financial expenses decreased by about 1 billion yuan year-on-year to 4.975 billion yuan in the first three quarters [6]