冠通期货资讯早间报-20251031

Report Overview - The report provides a comprehensive overview of overnight futures market trends, important macro and industry news, and financial market developments as of October 31, 2025 [3] Overnight Futures Market Trends International Futures - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 0.94% at $4038.30 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 1.71% at $48.73 per ounce [4] - U.S. crude oil and Brent crude oil futures fell, with U.S. crude down 0.31% at $60.29 per barrel and Brent crude down 0.45% at $64.03 per barrel [5] - London base metals all declined, with LME copper down 2.27% at $10930.00 per ton, LME tin down 1.28% at $35720.00 per ton, etc. [5] - U.S. agricultural products showed mixed performance, with soybeans up 1.14%, corn down 1.04%, etc. [6] Domestic Futures - As of 23:00, domestic futures contracts mostly fell, with low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) up over 1%, and ethylene glycol (EG), methanol, etc. down over 1% [8] Important News Macroeconomic News - China and the U.S. will suspend relevant export control measures for one year, and the U.S. will also suspend 301 investigation measures on China's maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding industries [10] - A total of 500 billion yuan in new policy-based financial instruments have been fully invested, expected to drive project investment of over 7 trillion yuan [10] - The Fed may end balance sheet reduction on December 1 and become a net buyer next year [12] Energy and Chemical Futures - Singapore's fuel oil inventory rose, while middle distillates and light distillates inventories declined [16] - China's domestic soda ash inventory slightly decreased, and production increased [16] - China's national float glass inventory decreased, and inventory days decreased [16] Metal Futures - The auction of spodumene concentrate ended at a price of 7058 yuan per ton [19] - Goldman Sachs believes that copper prices may not sustain above $11,000 per ton, and the market will be slightly oversupplied in 2026 [21] - Indonesia will issue a 400,000-ton copper concentrate export quota to Amman Mineral [21] - Global gold demand in Q3 2025 reached a record high [21] Black Futures - Manganese ore production in Gabon decreased in Q3 2025 [27] - China's rebar production increased, and inventories decreased [27] - Henan Province issued an action plan for the steel industry [27] Agricultural Futures - As of October 27, Xinjiang's cotton picking progress was 82.8%, and it is expected to end around November 15 [29] - The physical inventory of red dates increased [30] - Canada's rapeseed crushing volume increased in September [32] - Brazil's sugarcane crushing and sugar production increased in October [32] Financial Markets Stocks - A-shares fell, with technology stocks leading the decline, and the lithium battery industry chain strengthened [34] - Hong Kong stocks declined, with southbound funds net buying HK$13.641 billion [34] - A-share margin trading balance exceeded 2.5 trillion yuan, and semiconductor stocks were popular among margin traders [34] Industry - The weighted average interest rate of new commercial personal housing loans in Q3 2025 was 3.07% [37] - 21 troubled real estate companies have approved or completed debt restructuring, with a total debt resolution of about 1.2 trillion yuan [37] - The pilot area for pension wealth management products will be expanded to the whole country [37] Overseas Markets - The Fed may select a new chairman before Christmas [40] - The European Central Bank maintained the benchmark interest rate at 2% [40] - Eurozone Q3 GDP grew better than expected, but member states' performance was divergent [40] - The Bank of Japan maintained the benchmark interest rate at 0.5% [40] International Stocks - U.S. stocks fell, with concerns about the economic outlook intensifying [42] - European stocks showed mixed performance, with different factors affecting each country's market [42] - Apple's Q4 revenue and earnings exceeded expectations, and it announced a cash dividend [43] - Amazon's Q3 earnings and revenue exceeded expectations, and it provided positive Q4 guidance [43] Commodities - The World Bank predicts that global commodity prices will decline in 2026 [44] - Hong Kong is accelerating the construction of an international gold trading center [45] - Global gold demand reached a record high in Q3 [45] Bonds - The interbank bond market was bullish, and Meta's bond issuance received strong demand [48] - U.S. Treasury yields rose, and the market lowered its interest rate cut expectations [49] Foreign Exchange - The central bank plans to develop the RMB foreign exchange derivatives market and promote RMB internationalization [50] - The onshore RMB depreciated against the U.S. dollar [50]