石油沥青日报：基本面维持疲软，盘面弱势震荡-20251031

Report Industry Investment Rating - The rating for unilateral investment is neutral, suggesting short - term observation [2] Report's Core View - The asphalt fundamentals remain weak, and the market shows a weak oscillating trend. The weakening of rigid demand in northern provinces seasonally suppresses market sentiment, and there is insufficient upward drive in the market [1] Summary Based on Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - On October 30, the closing price of the main asphalt futures contract BU2601 in the afternoon session was 3254 yuan/ton, down 13 yuan/ton or 0.4% from the previous settlement price. The open interest was 196,796 lots, up 770 lots from the previous day, and the trading volume was 160,811 lots, down 12,955 lots from the previous day [1] - The spot settlement prices of heavy - traffic asphalt from Zhuochuang Information are as follows: Northeast 3406 - 4750 yuan/ton; Shandong 3200 - 3620 yuan/ton; South China 3370 - 3580 yuan/ton; East China 3410 - 3500 yuan/ton. The spot price of asphalt in North China decreased, while that in South China increased slightly, and prices in other regions remained relatively stable [1] - After the successful conclusion of China - US trade negotiations, macro risks have weakened. However, due to the weakening fundamentals of crude oil prices, the cost - driving effect on asphalt is limited [1] Strategy - Unilateral: Neutral, with short - term observation as the main strategy - Cross - period: None - Cross - variety: None - Futures - spot: None - Options: None [2]