Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of today's futures main contracts. Index futures will fluctuate and consolidate; gold, silver, coking coal, glass, and lithium carbonate futures will oscillate strongly; copper and PVC futures will oscillate weakly [1][2][3][4][5]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market Outlook - Index Futures: On October 31, index futures will fluctuate and consolidate. IF2512 has resistance levels at 4723 and 4741 points, and support levels at 4678 and 4653 points; IH2512 has resistance levels at 3065 and 3080 points, and support levels at 3030 and 3023 points; IC2512 has resistance levels at 7395 and 7470 points, and support levels at 7262 and 7200 points; IM2512 has resistance levels at 7450 and 7519 points, and support levels at 7319 and 7257 points [2][20]. - Treasury Bond Futures: On October 31, the 10 - year Treasury bond futures main contract T2512 will likely oscillate strongly, with resistance levels at 108.78 and 108.85 yuan, and support levels at 108.53 and 108.43 yuan. The 30 - year Treasury bond futures main contract TL2512 will likely oscillate strongly, with resistance levels at 116.5 and 116.8 yuan, and support levels at 115.6 and 115.4 yuan [2][38][43]. - Precious Metal Futures: On October 31, the gold futures main contract AU2512 will likely oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels at 923.6 and 928.6 yuan/gram, with support levels at 906.0 and 900.4 yuan/gram. The silver futures main contract AG2512 will likely oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels at 11483 and 11575 yuan/kg, with support levels at 11210 and 11122 yuan/kg [2][3][44][51]. - Base Metal Futures: On October 31, the copper futures main contract CU2512 will likely oscillate weakly and test support levels at 86600 and 86000 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 87600 and 88000 yuan/ton. The aluminum futures main contract AL2512 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance levels at 21300 and 21370 yuan/ton, and support levels at 21140 and 21090 yuan/ton. The alumina futures main contract AO2601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with support levels at 2803 and 2790 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 2836 and 2860 yuan/ton [3][52][61]. - Energy and Chemical Futures: On October 31, the lithium carbonate futures main contract LC2601 will likely oscillate strongly, with resistance levels at 85000 and 85700 yuan/ton, and support levels at 82200 and 81700 yuan/ton. The rebar futures main contract RB2601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance levels at 3111 and 3133 yuan/ton, and support levels at 3090 and 3083 yuan/ton. The hot - rolled coil futures main contract HC2601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance levels at 3333 and 3355 yuan/ton, and support levels at 3306 and 3280 yuan/ton. The iron ore futures main contract I2601 will likely oscillate weakly and test support levels at 790 and 787 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 803 and 806 yuan/ton. The coking coal futures main contract JM2601 will likely oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels at 1316 and 1328 yuan/ton, with support levels at 1280 and 1263 yuan/ton. The glass futures main contract FG601 will likely oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels at 112 and 1127 yuan/ton, with support levels at 1083 and 1072 yuan/ton. The soda ash futures main contract SA601 will likely oscillate widely, with support levels at 1224 and 1215 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 1248 and 1260 yuan/ton. The crude oil futures main contract SC2512 will likely oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels at 463 and 467 yuan/barrel, with support levels at 455 and 453 yuan/barrel. The PTA futures main contract TA601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance levels at 4590 and 4624 yuan/ton, and support levels at 4556 and 4530 yuan/ton. The PVC futures main contract V2601 will likely oscillate weakly and test support levels at 4731 and 4710 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 4778 and 4817 yuan/ton [3][4][5][72][79][81]. - Agricultural Futures: On October 31, the soybean meal futures main contract M2601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance levels at 3020 and 3035 yuan/ton, and support levels at 2980 and 2965 yuan/ton. The natural rubber futures main contract RU2601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with support levels at 15340 and 15210 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 15500 and 15630 yuan/ton [7][108][110]. Macro News and Trading Tips - China - US leaders held a meeting, and the two countries' economic and trade teams reached a consensus on important economic and trade issues. The US will cancel the 10% so - called "fentanyl tariff" on Chinese goods, and the 24% reciprocal tariff will be suspended for another year. The US will suspend the implementation of the 50% penetrative export control rule and the Section 301 investigation on China's maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding industries for one year [8]. - The World Bank predicts that global commodity prices may decline for the fourth consecutive year in 2026, reaching the lowest level in six years. Energy prices are expected to drop by 12% in 2025 and a further 10% in 2026. Gold prices are expected to rise by 42% in 2025 and a further 5% in 2026 [10]. Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - Index Futures: On October 30, index futures generally declined. The short - term upward momentum weakened, and the downward pressure increased [14][15][16]. - Treasury Bond Futures: On October 30, Treasury bond futures mostly rose. The short - term and medium - short - term upward space of the 10 - year and 30 - year Treasury bond futures main contracts further opened [36][41]. - Precious Metal Futures: On October 30, the gold futures main contract AU2512 rose slightly, and the short - term continued to rebound weakly. The silver futures main contract AG2512 declined slightly, and the short - term rebound momentum weakened [43][51]. - Base Metal Futures: On October 30, the copper futures main contract CU2512 declined slightly, and the short - term upward momentum weakened. The aluminum futures main contract AL2512 declined slightly, and the short - term upward momentum weakened. The alumina futures main contract AO2601 declined significantly, and the short - term downward pressure increased [52][61][64]. - Energy and Chemical Futures: On October 30, the lithium carbonate futures main contract LC2601 rose, and the short - term continued to rise. The rebar futures main contract RB2601 declined, and the short - term rebound momentum weakened. The hot - rolled coil futures main contract HC2601 declined, and the short - term rebound momentum weakened. The iron ore futures main contract I2601 rose slightly, and the short - term upward space further opened. The coking coal futures main contract JM2601 rose, and the short - term upward space further opened. The glass futures main contract FG601 declined significantly, and the short - term downward pressure increased. The soda ash futures main contract SA601 declined, and the short - term downward pressure increased. The crude oil futures main contract SC2512 declined slightly, and the short - term downward pressure increased. The PTA futures main contract TA601 declined, and the short - term upward momentum weakened. The PVC futures main contract V2601 rose slightly, and the short - term rebound momentum weakened [69][72][79]. - Agricultural Futures: On October 30, the soybean meal futures main contract M2601 rose, and the short - term stopped falling and rose. The natural rubber futures main contract RU2601 declined, and the short - term downward pressure increased [108][110].
股指期货将震荡整理，黄金、白银、焦煤、玻璃、碳酸锂期货将偏强震荡，铜、PVC期货将偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-10-31 02:52