Guoxin Securities·2025-10-31 05:14Investment Rating - The investment rating for Agricultural Bank of China (601288.SH) is "Outperform the Market" [4] Core Views - The bank's revenue and profit continue to maintain positive growth, with operating income reaching 550.9 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.0%, and net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 220.9 billion yuan, up 3.0% year-on-year [1][2] - The asset scale is growing rapidly, with total assets increasing by 10.5% year-on-year to 48.1 trillion yuan, and deposits growing by 5.8% to 32.1 trillion yuan [1] - The net interest margin continues to decline, with an average net interest margin of 1.30% in the first three quarters, down 15 basis points year-on-year [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the bank's net interest income decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, while net fee income increased by 13.3% and other non-interest income rose by 31.7% [2] - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 1.27%, a slight decrease from the beginning of the year, and the provision coverage ratio remained high at 295% [2] - The bank's financial forecasts for 2025-2027 project net profits of 292.4 billion yuan, 301.9 billion yuan, and 313.3 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.7%, 3.2%, and 3.8% respectively [2][3]