Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's performance is stable and improving, with overseas projects expected to drive structural optimization [4] - The company has a high dividend payout plan, distributing no less than 80% of the annual net profit attributable to shareholders or a minimum of 0.45 yuan per share, whichever is higher, enhancing investment attractiveness [5] - The company has seen a growth in orders, with a cumulative bid amount of approximately 22.213 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.13% [5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 20.954 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16.05% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is expected to be 672 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 37.35% [4] - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 is 15.70%, an increase of 0.45 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The company’s net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 is 3.51%, an increase of 0.07 percentage points year-on-year [5] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 683 million yuan, 737 million yuan, and 798 million yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 7.06%, 7.97%, and 8.25% [4] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for the company is projected to be 12.80, 11.85, and 10.95 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]
江河集团(601886):业绩稳中向好,海外项目兑现有望带动结构优化