铜:扰动因素增加,价格震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-10-31 06:09
- Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Report's Core View - The report presents the latest data on copper fundamentals, including prices, trading volumes, inventories, and spreads, and also provides macro and industry news to help understand the current situation of the copper market. The copper trend intensity is rated as neutral [1][3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Copper Fundamental Data - Prices: The closing price of the Shanghai Copper main contract was 87,960, with a daily decline of 0.85%, and the night - session closing price was 87,270, with a decline of 0.78%. The LME Copper 3M electronic disk closed at 10,930, down 1.44% [1]. - Trading Volume and Open Interest: The trading volume of the Shanghai Copper Index was 428,404, an increase of 81,170 from the previous day, and the open interest was 620,126, an increase of 2,982. The trading volume of the LME Copper 3M electronic disk was 35,174, an increase of 6,044, and the open interest was 333,000, an increase of 5,160 [1]. - Inventories: The Shanghai Copper inventory was 37,437, an increase of 1,692, and the LME Copper inventory was 134,950, a decrease of 400. The LME Copper注销仓单 ratio was 10.54%, a decrease of 0.30% [1]. - Spreads: The LME Copper cash - to - 3M spread was - 19.66, a decrease of 0.12 from the previous day. The Shanghai Copper spot - to - near - month futures spread was - 55, an increase of 5 [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - Macro News: Chinese President Xi Jinping met with US President Donald Trump in Busan, and the China - US economic and trade teams reached consensus on three aspects. The European Central Bank maintained the deposit rate at 2% [1]. - Industry News: Indonesia may allow Amman Mineral International to export copper concentrates. US President Donald Trump overturned a pollution - prevention regulation on copper smelters. Anglo American's Q3 copper production was 184,000 tons, up from 181,000 tons in the same period last year, but the cumulative production in the first three quarters decreased by 9% to 526,000 tons. Glencore's copper production in the first three quarters decreased by 17% due to lower ore grades. Chile's ENAMI obtained an environmental permit for a new $1.7 - billion copper smelter that will process up to 850,000 tons of copper concentrates and produce up to 240,000 tons of cathode copper annually [1][3]. 3.3 Trend Intensity - The copper trend intensity is 0, indicating a neutral outlook, with the range of trend intensity being integers in the [- 2,2] interval [3].