“十五五”规划建议解读：“十五五”：量变到质变的供给侧兼顾需求平衡

Strategic Positioning and Situation Assessment - The "15th Five-Year Plan" serves as a critical blueprint for achieving socialist modernization, emphasizing a transition from quantity accumulation to quality breakthroughs[3] - The period is characterized by increased strategic opportunities and risks, with heightened uncertainties and challenges, including intensified great power competition[3] Development Goals - Seven quality-oriented goals are established, focusing on high-quality development, technological self-reliance, and significant improvements in social civilization and ecological progress[3] - The plan aims for a notable increase in the resident consumption rate and total factor productivity, alongside the construction of a unified national market[3] Key Tasks - The modern industrial system is prioritized, indicating a shift in policy focus from technological breakthroughs to the integration of technology and industry[3] - The emphasis on expanding institutional openness reflects a transition from market access to institutional alignment, particularly in the service sector[3] Supply-Side and Demand Balance - The plan highlights the role of technological innovation in generating new supply and stimulating demand, aiming to create a healthier and more stable economic cycle[3] - It emphasizes the construction of a strong domestic market to solidify the foundation of domestic demand, ensuring affordability and accessibility[3] Economic System and Market Structure - The "15th Five-Year Plan" introduces a new economic model characterized by domestic demand-led growth, with a focus on enhancing macroeconomic policy consistency[3] - Financial reforms aim to enhance fiscal sustainability and the effectiveness of active fiscal policies, addressing current fiscal challenges[3] International Engagement - The plan outlines a strategy for expanding high-level openness, with a focus on institutional cooperation and enhancing the competitiveness of foreign trade[3] - It emphasizes the importance of promoting the internationalization of the Renminbi and improving cross-border payment systems[3] Risk Considerations - Geopolitical risks and the potential for domestic policy implementation falling short of expectations are highlighted as significant concerns[3]