SHANDONG STEEL(SH:600022) Orient Securities·2025-10-31 06:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 1.94 CNY based on a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.08X for comparable companies in 2025 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to enhance its profitability through quality asset injections and cost reduction initiatives, with a significant improvement in operational efficiency and product structure optimization [2][10]. - The company reported a net profit of approximately 140 million CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses, with a substantial quarter-on-quarter growth of 372.45% in Q3 2025 [10]. - The acquisition of 100% equity in Yingshan Steel is projected to increase crude steel production capacity by 5.6 million tons, enhancing overall production efficiency and product mix [10]. - Continuous efforts in cost control have led to a reduction of 64.39 CNY per ton of steel in comparable costs, alongside a 16.1% optimization rate in on-site staff at the Jinan Steel City base [10]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to decline from 90.475 billion CNY in 2023 to 77.780 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 11.5% in 2023 and 5.3% in 2025 [13]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 250 million CNY in 2025, recovering from a loss of 400 million CNY in 2023 [13]. - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 4.0% in 2023 to 5.6% in 2025, with net profit margin turning positive at 0.3% in 2025 [13]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to recover from -1.9% in 2023 to 1.3% in 2025, indicating a positive trend in profitability [13].