HTSC·2025-10-31 06:54Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company in both A and H shares [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in Q3 performance, with total revenue for the first three quarters reaching 18.244 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.871 billion yuan, up 24.08% year-on-year [1]. - The brokerage business showed remarkable growth, with net income for the first three quarters reaching 6.6 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 80% year-on-year [2]. - Investment income improved, with total investment income for the first three quarters at 7.334 billion yuan, a 2% increase year-on-year, and Q3 alone showing a 33% year-on-year increase [3]. - The investment banking and asset management segments also demonstrated steady growth, with investment banking net income increasing by 22% year-on-year and asset management net income rising by 30% year-on-year [4]. Summary by Sections Q3 Performance - In Q3, the company achieved revenue of 7.723 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64.89% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 33% [1]. - The net profit for Q3 was 3.686 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 53.45% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 28.05% [1]. Brokerage Business - The average daily trading volume for the market increased significantly to 1.93 trillion yuan, up 110% year-on-year [2]. - The company is actively transforming its wealth management business, focusing on a digital-driven integrated approach [2]. Investment Income - The company’s financial investment assets reached 382.2 billion yuan by the end of Q3, a 6% increase from the end of Q2 [3]. - The proportion of self-owned equity securities and derivatives to net capital increased to 26.37% from 22.35% at the end of Q2 [3]. Investment Banking and Asset Management - The company’s investment banking revenue for the first three quarters was 510 million yuan, a 22% increase year-on-year, with equity financing reaching 14.1 billion yuan, up 32% year-on-year [4]. - The asset management segment reported net income of 653 million yuan for the first three quarters, a 30% increase year-on-year [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts profit forecasts for 2025-2027, estimating net profits of 12.429 billion yuan, 14.307 billion yuan, and 16.511 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.43, 1.65, and 1.90 yuan [5]. - The target price is set at 25.33 yuan for A shares and 22.57 HKD for H shares, based on a PB valuation of 1.6x and 1.3x for 2025 [5].