Hoshion(SZ:002824) HTSC·2025-10-31 06:50Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 22.01 [6][11]. Core Views - The company shows significant recovery in profitability, driven by increased capacity utilization and a positive outlook in the new energy and consumer electronics sectors [1][2]. - The company is focusing on high-end industrial aluminum alloy materials, enhancing product and technology competitiveness through a robust R&D strategy [1][2]. - The company has a strong customer base, including major players in the new energy sector such as CATL and BYD, and in the consumer electronics sector like Foxconn [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of RMB 1.062 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 22.24% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 17.38% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 56.76 million, with a year-over-year growth of 120.61% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 80.15% [2]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 16.12%, up by 3.04 percentage points year-over-year and 3.55 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to improved capacity utilization in the new energy sector [2]. R&D and Capacity Expansion - The company has increased its R&D expense ratio to 4.83% in Q3 2025, reflecting a commitment to innovation and product development [1]. - A stock incentive plan was announced to bind the core team, and a private placement raised approximately RMB 500 million to optimize capacity layout and meet customer demand [3][11]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company has been adjusted downwards for 2025 and 2026 to RMB 163.26 million and RMB 200.66 million, respectively, due to anticipated challenges in high-value product ratios and capacity utilization [4][12]. - The estimated EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is RMB 0.53, RMB 0.65, and RMB 0.75, respectively, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 42.15% from 2025 to 2027 [4][10].