ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT(SZ:300308) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-10-31 07:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, driven by the demand for optical modules amid the AI wave, with Q3 revenue reaching 10.216 billion yuan, up 56.83% year-on-year and 25.89% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 improved to 42.79%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.2 percentage points, attributed to the ramp-up in silicon photonic module production and the release of 1.6T high-speed optical modules [3]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing capital expenditure increases by major North American tech firms, which is expected to support demand for optical modules [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 25.005 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 44.43%, and a net profit of 7.132 billion yuan, up 90.05% [2]. Operational Analysis - The increase in revenue and profit in Q3 2025 is largely due to the rising demand for optical modules from downstream customers, particularly in the context of AI developments [3]. - The company’s inventory reached 10.9 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a 1.7 billion yuan increase from the previous quarter, primarily due to preparations for production [3]. Market Outlook - The ongoing acceleration of AI infrastructure investments by major North American companies, such as Google and Meta, is expected to provide substantial demand support for the company’s products [4]. - The report anticipates that the market share of optical modules in scale-up networks could reach 21% by 2030, indicating significant growth potential for the company [4]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 34.578 billion yuan, 112.187 billion yuan, and 167.843 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 45%, 224%, and 50% [5]. - The estimated EPS for the same period is 8.79 yuan, 34.18 yuan, and 51.52 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 37, 10, and 6 [5].