EBSCN·2025-10-31 08:27Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Construction Bank (601939.SH) with a current price of 9.24 CNY [1]. Core Views - The bank's performance is showing a return to positive growth, with a stable revenue increase and a recovery in profit growth. The bank's three major strategies are being effectively implemented, contributing to its performance [4][10]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the bank achieved a revenue of 573.7 billion CNY, a year-on-year growth of 0.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 257.4 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 0.6%. The annualized weighted average return on equity (ROAE) was 10.32%, a decrease of 0.71 percentage points year-on-year [3][4]. - The net interest income and non-interest income growth rates for the first three quarters were -3% and 14%, respectively, indicating a strong performance in non-interest income despite a decline in net interest income [4][8]. - The bank's cost-to-income ratio and credit impairment losses as a percentage of revenue were 24.8% and 21.2%, respectively, both showing year-on-year increases [4]. Loan and Deposit Growth Summary - As of the end of Q3 2025, the bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 10.4% and 7.5% year-on-year, respectively, indicating steady credit growth [5]. - The bank's deposits increased at a rate of 11.4% year-on-year, with a total of 191.4 billion CNY added in the third quarter alone [6]. Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy Summary - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 1.32% at the end of Q3 2025, down 1 basis point from the previous quarter, indicating improved asset quality [9]. - The bank's capital adequacy ratios were robust, with a core Tier 1 capital ratio of 14.36% and a total capital adequacy ratio of 19.24% as of Q3 2025, providing a strong buffer for future growth [9][27]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation Summary - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.29 CNY, 1.32 CNY, and 1.35 CNY, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.71 and a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 7.14 [10][11].