Tianfeng Securities·2025-10-31 08:43Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a 6-month outlook [6] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of approximately 640.03 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.17% and an increase of 0.6 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025 [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 269.91 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.33% [1] - The net interest margin (NIM) for the first three quarters of 2025 was recorded at 1.28%, down by 2 basis points from the first half of 2025 [1] Revenue and Profitability - The company's net interest income was 473.42 billion yuan, accounting for 73.97% of total revenue, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.7% [1] - Non-interest income reached 166.61 billion yuan, marking an increase of 11.30% year-on-year [1][2] - The pre-provision profit growth rates for the first half and first three quarters of 2025 were 1.43% and 1.84%, respectively [1] Asset and Liability Structure - As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, the total interest-earning assets amounted to 51.41 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.64% [2] - The total interest-bearing liabilities were 48.12 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 11.58% [2] - The loan-to-asset ratio increased slightly by 0.07 percentage points compared to the middle of 2025 [2] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio stood at 1.33%, remaining stable compared to the previous quarter [3] - The loan provision coverage ratio was 217.2%, showing a slight decrease of 0.50 percentage points [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see a net profit growth of -0.20%, +2.00%, and +3.49% for the years 2025 to 2027 [4] - The book value per share (BPS) is projected to be 11.38, 12.60, and 14.20 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]